13
Consequence nodes
15
Transmission edges
12 months
Horizon
3
Order depth
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Bottom line
A surprise 50bp cut eases financial conditions across the curve, lifting risk assets and rate-sensitive consumption while modestly weakening the dollar.
0 direct channels · 0 spillovers
Current interpretation
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AnchorResolving
Shock directionDirection inferred
Horizon12 months
Model match87.0%
Data groundingGraph support only
Graph supportLight support
Top consequences
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Top consequences appear after the scenario graph resolves.
Value Direction
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Order
Layout
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Macro categories reached by the visible causal path. The arrow is the net direction of affected variables; numeric effect sizes are intentionally suppressed.
No material transmission category surfaced in the visible path.
How the scenario travels from the origin shock into direct channels and then broader knock-on effects.
The initial shock moves first through direct cost, demand, and pricing channels, then into second-round macro effects.